Damning new polling indicates the Tories face disaster at the next election if the Government fails to live up to its promises on Brexit. Life long Labour voters in the north of England who abandoned the party at last year’s election to support Mr Johnson would overwhelmingly reject the Tories next time around if they fail to deliver a trade deal with the EU that safeguards UK sovereignty.
The polling from the Centre for Brexit Policy indicates that 52 percent of Red Wall voters would be less likely to vote Tory if the UK is not in full control of its fishing waters.
Fifty-three percent would be less likely to vote for the Conservative Party if the UK is liable to making payments to the EU after the transition period ends.
But the figures were even more worrying for the Conservative Party when only people who voted Labour in the past, but switched to the Conservatives in the 2019 election, were taken into account.
Switcher voters were 66 percent less likely to vote for Mr Johnson’s party if the UK is not in full control of its fishing waters post-2020.
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And 74 percent of switcher voters were less likely to vote Conservative if the UK remains liable to making payments to the EU beyond the end of the year.
The stark warning came in polling from Savanta ComRes, who surveyed 2,093 people living in 34 so-called Red Wall seats in the Midlands and North between November 25 and 30.
Following the polling, Conservative MP Sir Iain Duncan Smith said it would be a “dangerous illusion” for the Government to assume it could hoodwink voters into supporting a sell-out deal.
He said: “This survey shows that the people of the Red Wall will not forgive my party if we cave into Brussels’s pressure and give ground on matters of vital national interest, such as the supremacy of UK law, maintaining the integrity of the whole of the UK, and the future of our fishing industry.
“The idea that we can cobble together some sort of half-baked, half-sovereign deal and expect to get away with it is a dangerous illusion.”
The warning comes after it emerged the UK is understood to have watered down its demands on fishing rights.
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“To coin a phrase, the voters of the Red Wall are ready to ‘take back control’.”
Trade negotiations between the UK and EU are in their final stages, with this week understood to be the last chance of a trade deal.
The UK leaves the EU transition period on December 31 and a trade deal must be agreed imminently if it is to have time to be ratified before the end of the year.
Negotiations currently remain deadlocked on fishing rights and the so-called level playing field with no clear sign of a breakthrough.
An EU diplomat said: “We are quickly approaching a make or break moment in the Brexit talks.
“Intensive negotiations are continuing in London.
“As of this morning, it is still unclear whether negotiators can bridge the gaps on issues like level playing field, governance and fisheries.”